作业帮英语翻译补充题（20分）Imagine a large urn containing at the startonly
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英语翻译
补充题（20分）
Imagine a large urn containing at the startonly two balls,one red and one blue.Pick one randomly and then return it tothe urn accompanied by and additional ball of the samen color as the one picked.If you picked a red ball,the return two red ball.Repeat until the urn isfilled and calculate the distribution.Make it over again,say a hundred times,and you will probably never end up on the same distribution.What does thisshow?It shows some of the key characteristic of path dependence.Pure chancedetermines which ball to be drawn first,the color draw will give positivefeedback for particular color and the probability of picking the same color inthe next round is enhanced.Early picks can have a large impact on theoutcome.This effect accumulates and makes a particular path more likely for thenext draw.
要求：
1、翻译（10分）
2、谈谈对你上面这段话的理解（10分）
补充题（20分）
Imagine a large urn containing at the startonly two balls,one red and one blue.Pick one randomly and then return it tothe urn accompanied by and additional ball of the samen color as the one picked.If you picked a red ball,the return two red ball.Repeat until the urn isfilled and calculate the distribution.Make it over again,say a hundred times,and you will probably never end up on the same distribution.What does thisshow?It shows some of the key characteristic of path dependence.Pure chancedetermines which ball to be drawn first,the color draw will give positivefeedback for particular color and the probability of picking the same color inthe next round is enhanced.Early picks can have a large impact on theoutcome.This effect accumulates and makes a particular path more likely for thenext draw.
要求：
1、翻译（10分）
2、谈谈对你上面这段话的理解（10分）
请想象在一个大缸里面一开始只有两个球,一个红的和一个蓝的.随机选择一个求并且把这个球和一个与其相同颜色的球放回缸里面.如果你宣泽乐一个红球那之后你就要放回去两个红球.重复这个动作直到大缸被球塞满,并且计算两种颜色的比例.一直重复上述所有过程,就算有100遍,你也将很可能不会得到两次相同的红篮球比例.这表明了什么?不难看出一些路径依赖理论（译者注：简单来说就好比一旦人们做了某种选择,就好比走上了一条不归之路,惯性的力量会使这一选择不断自我强化,并让你不能轻易走出去.）的关键特性.纯粹是巧合决定了哪个球被先选择,首先被选中的颜色会给与这种颜色有利的反馈,而且下次同种颜色的球被选中的几率被提升了.早期的选择对于最终的结果会产生重大的影响.这种效应会累积并使得一种路径在下一次选择中更可能被选中.
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